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What do we prepare for?

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8:19 pm
January 16, 2012


Justin Case

Bronze Apple
Bronze Apple

posts 647

21

MW said:

JC I would agree if it weren't for a looming currency crisis which is a "game changer." I don't see any avoiding the transition from U.S> as reserve currency to something else. I dont see how that would be a slow evolution. It either is or isnt the reserve currency. At some point it wont be. That seems like a deep dark canyon of a drop off or collapse.

It's possible that the US will lose its status as the world's only reserve currency.  Perhaps it will.  But there isn't anything out there right now to take its place immediately.  Over the longer term, I believe alternatives will be found.  Perhaps multiple alternatives will be found (i.e., a basket of currencies will be given reserve status by the rest of the world).

Last summer, for example, US debt got downgraded and some bond fund managers (e.g., Bill Gross of Pimco) did the logical thing by switching out of US debt.  His returns got clobbered by all of the investors who bought US debt.  Why would they do this?  Because the US is the cleanest dirty shirt in the global laundry.  We may be bad, but the alternatives are worse than the US is at this time.

I've read where the British Pound Sterling took decades to lose its status as the world's only reserve currency.  So long as the US doesn't screw up too badly, we might continue to muddle through OK.  But if we do screw up bad (such as really stop making payments on our debt the way Argentina and Russia and many other countries have done in the past), then there really could be a sudden collapse on a global scale as a desperate search is made for some kind of alternatives.

Plan Ahead

8:42 pm
January 16, 2012


Justin Case

Bronze Apple
Bronze Apple

posts 647

22

jamie said:

I wouldn't hire me for a job why would I expect someone else to do it? In today's market the person with a job to give makes the rules.

It's also possible to write your own rules and hire yourself to run a business you create for yourself.  Take what you enjoy doing and figure out a way to make money doing it (i.e., get paid for having fun).

For example, you know how to garden and how to cook on a shoestring budget (and so forth).  Consider writing a Kindle book about it and selling it on Amazon.  You might not make a lot of money, but maybe you will make some money.  Your "cost of development" is mainly your time because compared to publishing a book in the past, going the Kindle route is relatively inexpensive.  Amazon collects the money from selling it and cuts you an electronic check for your share of the royalties every three months.  Your blog can help you promote the book.

How do you think Bill Gates got rich?  His company spent money developing software; then his customers download it from his web site.  The cost of distributing software this way is negligible, and credit card companies collected the payments for him.

Each of us can do the same thing.  Create intellectual property inexpensively and, depending on what kind of intellectual property it is, distribute it inexpensively via online bookstores or online apps stores (e.g., Apple iTunes if you create apps for the iPhone).  You may not make any money, but then again, you don't know unless you try.  At worst, you will have a lot of fun trying (assuming you don't go overboard by spending money foolishly).  At best, you may not have to worry about money (in fiat currency form) ever again.

Plan Ahead

8:47 pm
January 16, 2012


jamie

Golden Apple
Golden Apple

posts 1820

23

JC,  I think the USA is just the healthiest horse in the glue factory. All of the powerhouse economies are in bad shape including the BRICs. I think once a good portion of the sheep actually wake up, start preparing get out of the TBTFs and into commodities and things of real value. It will all come apart for the PTB's. That's why we are such a threat to the status quo and the PTBs.

It's actully been stated in the MSM how terrible it is for folks to get out of debt. Oh, sure it might be good for them as individuals but it's killing the economy/collective. Same for police protection: If folks start to realize they can protect themselves and the police are not effective or start posing a threat to the citizens themselves? How will the PTBs get their protection money?

Do fireman stop a house burning down or do they just keep the fire from spreading? Sure they keep it from spreading and as long as it's not my house burning that's a worthwhile investment.

Don't get me wrong I like cops and fireman but if any busts through my door they will be met with 12 gauge buckshot. I don't care what they are wearing or what they are shouting. Sure throw in a couple of flash bangs and tear gas. I've been there and done that and while unpleasant it did not stop me during Army training it sure won't stop me in defending my home. Heck I walked into tear gas just to show my troopers that a bit miserable it's nothing in the long run. Plus Tear gas will get rid of any cold I've ever had! 

9:36 pm
January 16, 2012


Justin Case

Bronze Apple
Bronze Apple

posts 647

24

jamie said:

It's actully been stated in the MSM how terrible it is for folks to get out of debt. Oh, sure it might be good for them as individuals but it's killing the economy/collective. Same for police protection: If folks start to realize they can protect themselves and the police are not effective or start posing a threat to the citizens themselves? How will the PTBs get their protection money?

It's possible that we will be struck and killed by lightning or by a falling meteorite (the probability may be very small, but it's still greater than zero).  These kinds of things could happen and have happened to others before.  SWAT teams have been known to go to the wrong address before also.  I know I'm going to die someday; I just don't know when that is going to be at this time.

In the meantime, paying off debt rather than spending money on stuff really is killing the economy (it's called the paradox of thrift in economics).  Perhaps this is a problem for the politicians and for others, but it's not a problem for me.  My problem is to make sure I can support myself financially (using means that are both legal and ethical).  Other people can fend for themselves.  While the truly needy get my sympathy and support, the truly lazy get my cold shoulder.  I prefer to focus on keeping myself out of trouble so that I don't need to draw on society's resources (other than what I'm entitled to receive by law as a citizen, voter, and taxpayer).

My goal is to remain gray and under the radar.  Except for the SWAT team that happens to go to the wrong address (and ends up at mine), I don't want to do anything that attracts the attention of either the authorities or the zombie hordes.  But someday, my time in this world will be up and I will move on to the next world.  In the meantime, I will do the best I can to stay alive and healthy.  Then when my time is up, it's up.

Religion may be the opium of the people, but it's a good kind of opium to have.

Plan Ahead

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